The odds of Phase 3 success in oncology

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cheng_ho
Posts: 151
Joined: Sun Apr 03, 2016 11:27 pm

The odds of Phase 3 success in oncology

Post by cheng_ho » Mon Apr 29, 2019 11:26 pm

This is a bit premature, but this is a 2018 paper on Phase 3 success rates broken down by category:

https://academic.oup.com/biostatistics/ ... 73/4817524

Obviously Geron has some special factors (e.g. the large number of previous failed trials), but at least knowing the average success rate gives us some kind of baseline. Oncology is a tough category, but the approval rate is going up.

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