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The odds of Phase 3 success in oncology

Posted: Mon Apr 29, 2019 11:26 pm
by cheng_ho
This is a bit premature, but this is a 2018 paper on Phase 3 success rates broken down by category: ... 73/4817524

Obviously Geron has some special factors (e.g. the large number of previous failed trials), but at least knowing the average success rate gives us some kind of baseline. Oncology is a tough category, but the approval rate is going up.